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ANAHEIM VS MONTREAL HEAT MAP ANALYSIS

March 8, 2019

The Ducks have been much worse this season than in previous years, but they are playing significantly better lately and are trending upwards and out of the NHL’s basement standings. Over their last 10 games played, the Ducks have been out-chancing....

ANAHEIM DUCKS MONEYLINE: 2 UNITS (+110)

 

The last game of the California road trip is always trappy for Eastern Conference teams and we will be supporting the Anaheim Ducks with home underdog value tonight. Montreal has won just 1 game in their last 6 trips to Anaheim (16.6%) and have lost 4 consecutive games at the Honda Center dating back to 2014-2015. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings overall. The Ducks have been much worse this season than in previous years, but they are playing significantly better lately and are trending upwards and out of the NHL’s basement standings. Over their last 10 games played, the Ducks have been out-chancing opponents by +4.48%, and by an impressive +9.96% in crucial, high-danger scoring areas. Montreal is an average 5-5 in their last 10 games and have sub-par, negative metrics in the same scoring chance categories. This is going to be a goaltending duel between two of the NHL’s elite starters in John Gibson and Carey Price. Montreal has lost 2 of their last 3 games and simply do not warrant -VIG on the road, at the end of their Western Conference road trip. The Ducks have been playing teams hard, have won 2 out of their last 3 games and were 1 minute away from securing a victory over a red-hot Blues team in their last outing. Home underdogs have been thriving and we are looking forward to capitalizing on Ducks + value in Anaheim where Montreal hasn’t secured a win in 4 years.

LAST 10 GAMES PLAYED DATA:

Goals For %

MTL 51.56%

ANA 48.94%

Scoring Chances For %

MTL 49.53%

ANA 52.24%

High-Danger Scoring Chances For %

MTL 49.30%

ANA 54.98%

Corsi For %

MTL 53.14%

ANA 51.11%

Season Save %

Price .917

Gibson .914