< View All Articles

MLB PICKS APRIL 15 - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS PICK & ANALYSIS

April 15, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

NEW YORK METS MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT (+105)

Philadelphia has registered just 1 run in the opening 5 innings in 3 of their last 4 games. They had a red-hot start, but are noticeably going through an ongoing offensive regression and have fallen out of the top-10 on our TOFI rankings, currently sitting 15th with a -2.1 efficiency. They have average to sub-par current offensive metrics. Over the last week, the Phillies are batting a 16th ranked .239, and have scored the 17th most runs in this span (26). The Mets have been surprisingly effective to start the 2019 season. They have held down a consistent spot in the top-10 of our TOFI rankings and currently sit at 8th with a +8.7 efficiency. The Mets are batting a 10th ranked team .264 average and have scored the 4th most amount of runs over the last 7 days (39, +13 more runs than the Phillies). Aaron Nola had an ace calibre 2018 season but has been abysmal to start 2019. He has allowed 10 earned runs over his last 9 1/3 innings of work, including 4 first-innings runs, and possesses a 12.00 ERA in the opening frame on the season. The Mets will have a great opportunity to grab an early lead with Nola's current struggles and have the hotter offense. The Mets have been the 3rd most profitable road team so far in 2019 and they and provide good value in this spot.