< View All Articles

MLB PICKS APRIL 30 - DETROIT TIGERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES PICK & ANALYSIS

April 30, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

DETROIT TIGERS MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT (+170)

The Phillies offense has been mediocre of late, averaging just 3.8 runs per game and hitting a team .228 average over their last 12 games. Over a more recent sample size of the last 7 days, they are batting a team .223 average and have scored a 15th ranked 28 runs in this span. The Tigers currently sit 6th on our TOFI (Total Offensive Index) rankings. They are batting a team .263 average and have scored 30 runs in the same 7-day sample size. The concurrent Detroit 4-game losing streak and Philadelphia’s 3-game winning streak have made this an extremely discrepant line. Both teams are playing extremely similar baseball at the moment, with the Tigers possessing more favorable recent offensive numbers.

Both pitchers have been lights out through similar sample sizes this season. Velasquez or Turnbull have yet to give up more than 3 earned runs in an appearance and have extremely similar underlying metrics. Turnbull has given up 0 earned runs over his last 11 innings pitched and just 8 earned runs on the season over 26 innings pitched (0.3 runs per inning).