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MLB PICKS JULY 5 - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS PICK & ANALYSIS

July 5, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES MONEYLINE: 2 UNITS (+145)

 

The Mets clearly have the pitching advantage tonight with ace Jacob DeGrom on the mound, however, this is ridiculous value on the Phillies considering how stagnant the Mets offense is (outside of Pete Alonso). DeGrom has not given up more than 3 earned runs in his last 8 starts, however, despite this the Mets are just 2-6 (25%) in this stretch. On the season, the Mets are just 5-12 (29.4%) in DeGrom starts, providing him with just 3.92 runs of support per game. The Mets also have the 3rd worst bullpen this season with a 6.28 ERA, and the worst bullpen over the last 7 games with an abysmal 9.00 ERA. The Mets are struggling tremendously as of late winning just 2 of their last 10 games (20%) and they are the worst team in the MLB since June 10th with a 7-15 (31.8%) record. The Phillies have dominated their NL East rival Mets this season going 7-3 (30%).