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MLB PICKS JUNE 19 - BOSTON RED SOX VS MINNESOTA TWINS PICK & ANALYSIS

June 19, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

BOSTON RED SOX FULL GAME MONEYLINE 1 UNIT +135

BOSTON RED SOX FIRST 5 INNINGS MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT +115

 

We are going to capitalize on the value in the follow-up from the longest game in Target Field history in Minnesota. After a marathon like we saw last night, the following day presents a number of unpredictable X-Factors such as fatigued bats, fatigued defense, and of course fatigued and used-up bullpens. We are going to seek the value in both halves of this game, as the later innings could provide some volatile entertainment. The Twins offense who has been red-hot for majority of the season, and especially the first-half of June, may be experiencing a temporary regression. Over their last 5 games, their torrent pace has drastically decreased and they have averaged just 3.4 runs per game, which further regresses to 3 runs per game over their last 3. As a result, the Twins have dropped from 1st, to 7th, and currently rank 17th on our current TOFI (Total Offensive Index) rankings, while the Red Sox have jumped up to 4th. Both teams have been hot, but the Red Sox have won 8 of their last 9 games, and they keep trending in the right direction winning 4 of their last 5 games, jumping up to 3rd on our WAR (Wins Above Replacement) rankings.