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MLB PICKS MAY 1 - ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK YANKEES PICK & ANALYSIS

May 1, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT (-105)

Wins Above Replacement Ranking: 6th (Yankees: 7th)

Total Offensive Index Ranking: 8th (Yankees: 5th)

Total Defensive Index Ranking: 6th (Yankees: 26th)

Arizona’s 2.58 overall team ERA is the 1st ranked pitching staff in the MLB since April 14th. They have allowed just 41 earned runs in their past 131 innings played (0.36 runs per inning). The Yankees have been red-hot because of an efficient offense (baffling with their amount of injuries), but have been a sub-par defensive team during their winning streak and have allowed 21 more runs than Arizona in this same span. The Yankees and Diamondbacks have extremely similar current TOFI rankings, but defensively the Diamondbacks have a current landslide advantage. The Yankees have won 8 of their last 10 games and the public is jumping all over them tonight, not realizing Arizona's current threat as a top-10 team. Despite the Yankees receiving up to 70-75% of support, we have seen significant reverse line movement with the odds swinging 30 points towards the Diamondbacks. Diamondbacks have had tremendous success versus the Yankees at home going 8-5 (66%) in their last 12 games in Arizona outscoring them 80-47.