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MLB PICKS MAY 11 - ST LOUIS CARDINALS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES PICK & ANALYSIS

May 11, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

PITTSBURGH PIRATES MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT (+165)

 

We are going to support the Pirates once again at phenomenal +165 odds. The Cardinals have won just 2 of their last 9 games (22.2%) and have scored just 1 run in 5 of these games. Outside of the 17-run outlier in the opener of this series, the Cardinals offense has been extremely volatile and prone to disappearance. The Pirates have thrived lately in Saturday afternoon games winning 13 of their last 18 in this time slot (72.2%). They have also thrived with Jordan Lyles on the mound this season winning 5 of his last 6 starts (83.3%). Lyles has 1 more strikeout on the season than Mikolas and just 3 more walks, despite pitching 15 less innings. Mikolas' HR against rates are almost double Lyles', who possesses an impressive 2.20 ERA with solid underlying metrics to match. Opponents are batting just .222 against him and when they do reach base, he strands 85.8% of batters which places him in the upper-echelon of starters for this category. Lyles has been tremendous this season and is a threat to stymie the Cardinals' struggling offense once again and give the Pirates a great chance to win. Despite the Cardinals' recent offensive inefficiencies and losing skid, the Cardinals are one of the most popular bets today receiving up to 80% of support with severe -VIG.