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MLB PICKS MAY 17 - MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ATLANTA BRAVES PICK & ANALYSIS

May 17, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

ATLANTA BRAVES MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT (-125)

Milwaukee is drawing a healthy majority of public support at generous +120 trap bait. The Brewers are on a tear winning 10 of their last 13 (76.9%) of their games, however the Braves are also red-hot winning 5 of their last 6 (83.3%) games and we will be supporting the home team with the better starting pitcher in a matchup between two red-hot NL teams. Milwaukee has been sub-par in the road dog scenario. They are 10-11 (47.6%) as an underdog, and an average 11-11 (50%) on the road. 

Max Fried has been tremendous for Atlanta and has displayed admirable control striking out 41 batters and walking only 9 in 44.1 innings of work. He has been prone to the single allowing a .253 batting average, but has an impressive 81.1% left-on-base percentage and has a 22.3% strikeout rate. While Fried has been the epitome of control, Chacin has walked 11.1% of batters faced and has allowed 7 more runs than Fried in the same sample size.