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MLB PICKS MAY 6 - SAN DIEGO PADRES VS NEW YORK METS PICK & ANALYSIS

May 6, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

SAN DIEGO PADRES MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT (+105)

Wins Above Replacement Ranking: 8th (Mets: 30th)

Total Offensive Index Ranking: 12th (Mets: 30th)

Total Defensive Index Ranking: 3rd (Mets: 17th)

 

Easy decision to support the Padres in this spot as the home team receiving + odds. The Mets are currently ranked dead-last 30th on our WAR (Wins Above Replacement) and TOFI (Total Offensive Index) rankings. Over the past week, the Mets have scored the 29th amount of runs (15) and they possess an abysmal .188 team batting average in this span. They possess the worst 30th ranked OBP (On-Base %) in this same span (.244), have hit the 27th ranked amount of HR's (4th), and possess the 29th ranked SLG (Slugging) %. The Mets have the highest current strikeout % (29.2%) meaning nearly 1 out of every 3 batters is going down swinging. Their offense is in disarray at the moment and they will be in tough versus emerging ace Chris Paddock. Paddock's numbers are insane right now. His 0.70 WHIP to innings pitched ratio leads every MLB starter and he is holding opponents to an incredible .126 batting average with only 14 hits allowed over his 6 starts. He has allowed 1 or 0 runs in 4 starts. His worst start this season was 3 runs over 6 innings. The Padres are 10-5 (66.6%) as the underdog this season. The Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 starts (20%) and have lost 5 consecutive games on the road.