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MLB PICKS MAY 7 - MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS PICK & ANALYSIS

May 7, 2019

MLB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

MILWAUKEE BREWERS MONEYLINE: 1 UNIT (-105)

Wins Above Replacement Ranking: 17th (Nationals: 27th)

Total Offensive Index Ranking: 23rd (Nationals: 27th)

Total Defensive Index Ranking: 6th (Nationals: 9th)

 

This is a Washington Nationals fade who are just 3-9 in their last 12 games (25%), 2-6 in their last 8 games versus Milwaukee (25%), and 1-4 (20%) in their last 5 games on the road. The Nationals have been the 3rd biggest deficit team this season losing bettors -7.37 units. The Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games (80%) and 4-1 in their last 5 games at home (80%). They have been the 4th most profitable home team to support when playing at Miller Park, netting bettors a +4.13 unit return. Washington certainly has the pitching advantage tonight with Stephen Strasburg, but he is likely going to need to throw a near-perfect gem as the Nationals' offensive production has plummeted due to mounting injury problems. Crucial everyday players in Zimmerman, Turner, Rendon, Adams, Soto and now Gomes, Stevenson have all been sidelined. Washington is batting a just a team .219 average and they sit 27th on out TOFI (Total Offensive Index) rankings.