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May 17, 2017

Expert Picks Inc. VIP Members cashed in large on Tuesday night as a result of our analytical breakdown of the Nationals vs. Pirates game:

Our MLB system cashed in our biggest play of the 2017 season on Tuesday night; a 20 unit bomb on the Washington Nationals. Our clients who bet $500/unit cashed in $6000, and our $100/unit bettors cashed in $1400 on this play alone. Below is a write-up sent to clients 3 hours prior to game-time:

Good afternoon. Our MLB system has identified a large, confident play for Tuesday night action. It is seldom we identify such large bet signals, which warrant a 20-unit play, but when we do, we are extremely successful and rake in the profits. Our 20-unit plays are 38-8 over the past calendar year.


We will be backing the Washington Nationals tonight.


The Rested vs. The Unrested:


While both Washington and Pittsburgh got a night off on Monday, previous to this, the Pirates played 17 consecutive days in a row, going 7-10.  On the contrary, Washington should be well rested and ready to go tonight. In addition to Monday’s night off, the Nationals did not play on Thursday and Friday due to rainouts.


Stephen Strasburg vs. Abysmal Pirates Offense:


Washington’s ace is off to another strong start in 2017 with a 3-1 record, 3.28 ERA, 1.16 WHIP through 46.2 IP. He has strong underlying metrics, which predict sustainability:  He has a 75% batters left on base percentage, 50% ground ball percentage. 23.7% K percentage. He has a strong .233 BAA. Strasburg also elevates his game vs. a familiar NL opponent. He has a career 2.51 ERA in 6 starts vs. Pittsburgh, averaging 10 K’s/game.


Expect Strasburg to have a field day vs. an abysmal Pirates offense that is averaging only 2.9 runs in their last 10 game and that ranks:


28th in runs/game (3.6)

29th in hits/game (7.4)

29th in batting average (.224)

25th OBP (.304)

28th slugging % (.366)

28th OPS (.670)

27th in HR’s (34)


Chad Kuhl vs. Top-Ranked Nationals Offense:


24-year-old Chad Kuhl is still trying to figure out how to be a consistent major-league pitcher, and is off to a rough start in 2017 with a 1-3 record, 5.81 ERA, 1.61 WHIP through 31 IP. His underlying metrics support his shaky start. 39% of batters that reach base against Kuhl have scored runs in 2017. 61% of balls hit against him are in the air. He has an extremely sub-par .290 BAA. Kuhl especially struggles vs. left-handed batters (.413 BAA). This does not bode well for him as lefties Bryce Harper (.384, 12 HR, 34 RBI) and Daniel Murphy (.317, 6 HR, 30 RBI) will be chomping at the bit.


Expect Kuhl to have a rough outing vs. an elite Nationals offense that ranks:


1st in runs/game (6.1)

1st in hits/game (10)

1st in batting average (.282)

1st in OBP (.357)

1st in SLG (.488)

1st in OPS (.845)

2nd in HR’s (60)


Additional Statistics:


(Jordy Mercer - .171, 1 RBI in May)

(Andrew McCutchen - .212 season average)