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NBA PICKS APRIL 14 - OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS PICK & ANALYSIS

April 14, 2019

NBA EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -3.5: 1 UNIT (-110)

Both teams have extremely similar season data and this be should an extremely close series, however Portland is one of the best home teams in the NBA and we are going to support them in game 1. The Blazers went 32-9 at home this season (78%) with a +8.4 point differential. The Thunder struggled as the visitors this season going 22-19 on the road (53.6%). At home in Portland, the Blazers scored the second most points in the NBA (118.2), which is +4 points more than OKC managed as the road team (114.2). Portland was the 4th most profitable team to support this season covering the spread in 55.6% of their games. They come into the playoffs on an absolute tear since mid-March and have won 11 out of their past 13 games (84.6%) with an average MOV (Margin of Victory) of +8.86. The Thunder regressed heavily since the All-Star Break. In this span they have taken the second-most shots in the NBA, but haven’t been very efficient shooting a 20th ranked 45.2% down the stretch. Defense has been an issue as well which won’t bode well versus the Blazers red-hot offense. They rank 16th in this span surrendering 111 points per game and are ranked 26th allowing opponents to hit 38.3% of their shots from beyond the arc. The value on the Thunder is making them one of the most popular bets of the day with up to 70-75% of the public supporting them with plus-points. We look forward to being on the contrarian winning side by backing one of the NBA’s most successful home teams.

SEASON DATA:

Points Scored/Game

OKC 114.5 (NBA Rank: 7th)

POR 114.7 (NBA Rank: 6th)

Total Offensive Efficiency (Points Scored/100 Possessions)

OKC 110.3 (NBA Rank: 17th)

POR 114.6 (NBA Rank: 3rd)

Points Allowed/Game

OKC 111.1 (NBA Rank: 15th)

POR 110.5 (NBA Rank: 14th)

Total Defensive Efficiency (Points Allowed/100 Possessions)

OKC 107.1 (NBA Rank: 4th)

POR 110.5 (NBA Rank: 16th)

Pace (Possessions/48 Minutes)

OKC 102.8 (NBA Rank: 6th)

POR 99.1 (NBA Rank: 18th)