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NBA SYSTEM UPDATE

June 13, 2019

PLAYOFF TOTALS

 

The 2018-2019 NBA season is reaching a climax and could end tonight in a Toronto Raptors victory. Congratulations to all subscribers as we will be ending the playoff run with profits. The question at this point is just how much? Since the NBA playoffs began on April 13th, our system has achieved a 62.07% win rate, with a +11.06 unit profit and a 21.28% Return On Investment. A 60+% win rate and double-digit unit profit in just 2 months of investment are impressive feats for a spread sport designed to cut the bettor up with daily -VIG. However, our job is not done and we have some exciting pending futures bets in the fold. Here is where we stand through 5 games of the NBA Finals:

 

Finals Record (12-3, +6.13 units)

Pending Futures -

Series To Finish In Game 7: 0.5 UNIT (+250)

Exact Series Result Warriors Win In 7 Games: 0.5 UNIT (+550)

Exact Series Result Raptors Win In 7 Games: 0.5 UNIT (+550)

 

If we stood still now for the rest of the series, a Game 6 Golden State Warriors victory at Oracle would guarantee us +3.5 additional units with a Game 7 being clinched and a +14.56 unit total playoff run. As a result, we are going to avoid tonight's full game side and seek Raptors 1Q and 1H value at plus-odds, without jeopardizing the full-game result. We are also going to attack some player props.

 

Tonight's Game 6 Investments:

 

TORONTO RAPTORS 1ST QUARTER MONEYLINE: 0.5 UNIT (+105)

TORONTO RAPTORS 1ST HALF MONEYLINE: 0.5 UNIT (+115)

 

Toronto has came out of the gate hot winning BOTH the 1st quarter and the 1st half in 3 of the 5 games in this series. Toronto has won both games at Oracle in this series and these 1Q and 1H moneyline bets provide great plus-value without jeopardizing our Game 7 futures. In the 1Q we have a dead even point differential through 5 games. In the 2H the Raptors have a significant +13 point differential. Also keep in mind, Game 4 was heavily influenced by the presence of Kevin Durant and his 12 points in 11 minutes, or else Toronto could have easily won the 1Q and 1H in 4 out of these 5 games. 

 

KYLE LOWRY OVER 2.5 THREE-POINTERS MADE: 0.5 UNIT (+100)

 

This is a prop bet we cashed in on in Game 3, the first game at Oracle arena. Prior to this game, Lowry hinted at a big performance as he said he performs better on the road. As a result, he had three 3-pointers made by halftime and finished with 5 in the game. In 2 games in Milwaukee, Lowry averaged 4.5 three-pointers made a game. Lowry didn't disappoint the first time we attacked this prop and it provides good value at plus-money for Game 6.

 

DEMARCUS COUSINS TO RECORD A DOUBLE-DOUBLE: 0.5 UNIT (+230)

 

This prop bet should simply come down to the amount of minutes Cousins will play. Yes, he is probably only still playing at about 75%, but his absence this season and background role on this Warriors team has made him a forgotten dominant superstar in this league. Cousins averages a double-double per game in his career (21.2 pts, 10.9 rbds) and we will take phenomenal +230 value on something he expects from himself game-in, game-out. Cousins recorded a double-double in just 28 minutes in Game 2 and was 4 rebounds shy of a double-double (14 pts, 6 rbds) in Game 6 despite only playing 20 minutes, coming in and stepping up huge after the Durant injury. The Warriors are going to need Cousins to be a dominant force down low, in between hot 3-point shooting spurts from Steph and Klay if they want any chance to win this game. With Durant gone and Looney questionable with a chest contusion, we expect the Warriors to unleash Boogie and let him play close to 30 minutes where he achieved a double-double in Game 2.