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NCAAB PICKS MARCH 22 - BUFFALO VS ARIZONA STATE PICK & ANALYSIS

March 22, 2019

NCAAB EXPERT PICKS - FULL ANALYSIS ATTACHED

BUFFALO BULLS -5: 2 UNITS (-110)

Buffalo is one of the most dangerous, lesser-known teams in the tournament and tied for the best record in the nation this season. They strongly feel like they were disrespected by the committee with their 6 seed designation and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Buffalo is extremely dangerous offensively, especially in transition. They are the 1st ranked, fastest pace team in the nation. They play incredibly fast and spread you out with 3-point shooting. Most teams that thrive in transition are big-man heavy and have guys running to the rim for easy baskets. Buffalo is different. Often they will have all 5 guys sprint to the 3-point line for numerous options at an easy look from beyond the arc. Their shooters are also extremely athletic and versatile. They are a threat to hit a step-back 3, or to take it to the rim making them a nightmare to guard for opposing defenses. Buffalo possesses the 5th highest scoring offense in the nation (84.9 points/game). They take tremendous care of the ball and won't beat themselves with careless giveaways, producing the 19th-best offensive turnover rate, and have an above-average 71st-ranked offensive rebounding rate, giving them second-chance opportunities on their misses. Arizona State also thrives in transition, but are nowhere close to as effective as Buffalo. They struggle tremendously with their half-court offenses and are ranked 251st in the nation in non-transition FG% (48.2%). None of their three primary bigs are threats from deep and their guards are much more comfortable shooting off the bounce. Their offense is extremely stagnant when not in transition and they have a lot of late clock situations ending in contested jumpers and tough finishes at the rim. Expect a high-scoring game with lots of transition, but for Buffalo to ultimately pull away in this one.