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Primetime Profits! Experts Cash In: Ravens-Patriots

December 13, 2016

In-Depth Analysis Into Our MNF Winner

Our Expert NFL System has been extremely successful thus far this season with our Primetime Monday & Thursday night plays. Our success continued last night with the New England Patriots' 30-23 win over the Baltimore Ravens, cashing in on the Patriots -6.5 spread.

We headed into this game analyzing a Ravens team with a top-ranked defense and a mediocre offense, going up against the elite New England Patriots and Tom Brady at home. Surprisingly to us, a minority of the betting public was supporting the Patriots spread with approximately 59-60% of bettors taking the Ravens at plus points. This allowed a late-afternoon dip in the spread to occur, coming down from -7. This allowed us to capitalize on the Patriots at -6.5 and gave us a one touchdown buffer enabling us to cash in and avoid the push. 

The betting public was backing the Ravens + for the following reasons:

The Ravens have historically provided the Patriots with a challenging game at home. However, our Expert team was not swayed by these stats because of this same reason. These are arbitrary stats based on past performance. You have to be extremely careful not to be persuaded by historical performances. What has happened in the past is not always indicative of the future. This is especially true with the elite Patriots who have time and again proved they overcome adversity and always excel when challenged by a worthy opponent.

If we look at the underlying statistics from THIS SEASON, it was obvious to us that New England would cover the spread:

Yes, the Ravens top-ranked defense was nothing to be overlooked when considering a -6.5 spread. However, the Patriots are no ordinary offense to subdue and the offensive differentials between these two teams was too varied in New England's favor for us to not take the -6.5 spread.

Other statistics we considered: 

What We Predicted: Our Expert team predicted a fairly low-scoring 17-7, 10 point margin of victory for New England. 

How It Played Out: The Patriots got off to an incredible start, dominating on both sides of the ball. New England at one point was up 23-3, before a sloppy second-half featuring unpredictable special teams miscues made this a much closer game than it really should have been. However, Brady, came up clutch once again. He hooked up with Chris Hogan for a 79-yard TD late in the 4th quarter to ensure the 7 point victory and our bet to cash. Brady finished with 406 passing yards, torching the Ravens defense for 3 TD's.

Congrats to all members who cashed in LARGE on another Expert Picks Inc. Primetime NFL winner!

OUR TEAM USES ADVANCED ANALYTICS, SIMULATION SOFTWARE AND PUBLIC BETTING TRACKING TECHNOLOGY IN ORDER TO PROVIDE OUR CLIENTS WITH BETTING ADVANTAGES NOT AVAILABLE TO THE GENERAL PUBLIC.

JOIN US TODAY & CASH IN TONIGHT!