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September 21, 2017

Our MLB system cashed in large on Wednesday night, as Chris Sale and the Red Sox dismantled the struggling Orioles. Check out our write-up sent to members 4 hours before game-time:

Good afternoon. We have a large play lined up for tonight’s action. We will be cashing in large on Chris Sale and the Boston Red Sox.


Two Teams, Different Directions:


The Red Sox have been phenomenal in September, winning 71.4% of their games since finishing a series vs. the Yankees on 09/03. Conversely, Baltimore has conceded their post-season hopes and are an abysmal stretch, losing 11 of their last 13 games, and most alarmingly being outscored 74-36 in the process.


Massive Mismatch on the Mound:


Chris Sale (16-7, 2.86 ERA) vs. Wade Miley (8-13, 5.32 ERA). Cy Young candidate vs. a borderline bottom of the rotation starter.


Chris Sale is having another perennial all-star season, and even putting up career numbers for himself. He is eyeing his 17th win of the season, which would match his career high. He is also 13 K’s away from 300, which would make him the first AL pitcher to reach that number since Pedro Martinez.


There is no better team right now for Sale to dig away at these statistics than a severely slumping Orioles squad, who he has held to a phenomenal .176 batting average this season. As a team, with a healthy sample size of 18 games played in September, Baltimore is only hitting .214 (29th in the MLB in this span). Expect their struggles to continue immensely tonight with Sale on the mound.


There is no bigger contradiction to Chris Sale right now, than Wade Miley. Miley has struggled to pitch into the 6th inning this season due to high pitch counts. He has lost his past 3 outings, including a devastating past start just 6 days ago. He last just 1/3 of an inning vs. the Yankees, allowing 6 runs on just 19 pitches.


Boston Bullpen:


We do not expect this game to be a nailbiter heading into the final innings, but if it is, we give the Red Sox another significant advantage. Boston just bolstered their bullpen, which was already performing at an elite standard, with David Price. Their bullpen is 15-3, with a 1.25 ERA in extra innings this season.


In their last 13 games, which Boston is 10-3, their bullpen has a 1.29 ERA, .168 batting average against, 80 strikeouts, and 16 walks. In this span their bullpen ranks:


2nd in ERA

2nd WHIP (0.91)

3rd in K% (32.1)

1st in Left On Base % (96.5)

Additional Help:


Manager John Farrell announced Dustin Pedroia (nose), and Hanley Ramirez (bicep) will be re-entering the lineup tonight.


Auxilliary Stats:


Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on the road.

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games in Baltimore.

Orioles are averaging 10.33 K in their past 3 games vs. Red Sox.